The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on Libya's Trade Balance (1980–2024)

Authors

  • Qasim Attiyah Al-Jundi Faculty of Economics and Commerce, Asmariya Islamic University, Libya Author

Keywords:

Exchange rate, Trade balance, Exports, Imports

Abstract

The research aims to estimate the impact of changes in the exchange rate of the Libyan dinar against the US dollar on the Libyan trade balance for the period (1980-2024). The study relied on the descriptive-analytical method to analyze exchange rate and trade balance data, using the ARDL model to estimate the relationship between the exchange rate as an independent variable and the trade balance in terms of exports and imports as dependent variables. The Eviews 10 program was also used to estimate the relationship. The results showed a weak but positive significant effect between the exchange rate of the Libyan dinar against the US dollar and the trade balance in both exports and imports in the short and long term. It was also found that the exchange rate was not an effective tool for improving the trade balance.

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Published

2026-02-06

Issue

Volume 4, No. 1, 2026

Section

Humanities and Social Sciences Theme

License

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

How to Cite

Qasim Attiyah Al-Jundi. (2026). The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on Libya’s Trade Balance (1980–2024). Afro-Asian Journal of Scientific Research (AAJSR), 4(1), 193-207. https://aajsr.com/index.php/aajsr/article/view/782